Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 46.995031 53.894637 61.068354 69.052479 77.659419 86.629318 96.655019
2024-10-13 37.283182 47.079292 57.841554 70.411885 84.564974 99.890886 117.626084
2024-10-20 30.417563 41.518138 54.251064 69.664976 87.561587 107.451476 130.997095
2024-10-27 24.652243 36.330858 50.292089 67.755877 88.589703 112.263645 140.823392
2024-11-03 22.367783 34.999331 50.582917 70.550120 94.834037 122.856405 157.098694
2024-11-10 20.053522 33.310247 50.175692 72.281656 99.648617 131.670961 171.250303
2024-11-17 17.004089 30.284062 47.781463 71.296912 100.969911 136.203230 180.270228
2024-11-24 14.408314 27.572810 45.539527 70.279022 102.065118 140.323890 188.695327
2024-12-01 12.588194 25.760353 44.322765 70.434594 104.508599 145.994798 198.921969
2024-12-08 11.027624 24.150604 43.237961 70.643120 106.928609 151.577833 209.010738
2024-12-15 9.800791 22.915935 42.568934 71.319279 109.885567 157.787973 219.850590
2024-12-22 8.326224 21.086274 40.896336 70.508125 110.819279 161.413907 227.486525
2024-12-29 7.494241 20.275970 40.694361 71.734897 114.471565 168.536086 239.561661
2025-01-05 6.780746 19.589104 40.624022 73.115549 118.322506 175.929080 252.019882
2025-01-12 5.700178 18.053035 39.119224 72.352371 119.226765 179.517730 259.706379
2025-01-19 4.543398 16.154719 36.882421 70.397083 118.411896 180.821804 264.470616
2025-01-26 4.353032 16.255396 37.905709 73.258479 124.218261 190.727180 280.135418
2025-02-02 4.000667 15.945681 38.211987 75.031104 128.517905 198.684041 293.360040
2025-02-09 3.274125 14.638907 36.727349 74.023036 128.892902 201.473085 299.992835
2025-02-16 2.643682 13.409764 35.273923 72.980909 129.159060 204.077759 306.364834
2025-02-23 2.238223 12.663798 34.622003 73.140194 131.099686 208.886705 315.569096
2025-03-02 1.888356 11.980238 34.029126 73.353692 133.094427 213.758921 324.860208
2025-03-09 1.625835 11.485704 33.751714 74.045934 135.767437 219.540186 335.342617